Premier League 25/26

Who will win?


  • Total voters
    21

Jenks

Senior Member
Semenyo to City almost done.

Doku, Cherki, Marmoush, Savinho, Bobb, Semenyo

6 players for 2 positions...
3 positions. Marmoush plays more as a #9. Savinho was supposed to be leaving in the summer also, and I wouldn't be surprised if they offloaded him to Spurs in January.
 

Porque

Senior Member
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That's the single most important stat to determine which team is the best in a league campaign

Arsenal head and shoulders above everyone else, should have had bigger point gap from City and Villa

Newcastle, insanely unlucky
Villa insanely lucky
Pool strangely enough where they should be
Palace deservedly where they are
Sunderland undeservedly

The only thing this proves is more teams should convert to playing NFL inspired football.
 

Birdy

Senior Member
3 positions. Marmoush plays more as a #9. Savinho was supposed to be leaving in the summer also, and I wouldn't be surprised if they offloaded him to Spurs in January.

Marmoush can play as a 9, but he can also play LW and was used there many times last season.
Cherki can also play AM

I reckon Doku Semenyo will be starters, and the others will be subs
Cherki might bench Foden as AM,

but this still leaves many starting-quality players like MArmouch, Savinho, Foden/Cherki disappointed
 

fergus90

Senior Member
We've been far better than the 16th best placed team in the premier league. I've not missed a single home game in the league this season, not a single second missed and I can tell you without any bias the only team clearly better than us on the day for the full 90 minutes were Crystal Palace.

When we are away, we play possum for a while and i truly think it's an Emery tactic due to the distinct lack of rotational options available to save legs as cannot be playing rope-a-dope football for 90 minutes. We have barely any depth and these players are playing two games a week so we play in bursts.

For example, even for all Chelsea's possession in the first half the other day, outside of the goal, how many guilt edge chances did they truly miss where you think it had to be a goal. All that possession for a 1-0 lead and a bunch of half chances. We ended up looking like we could've won 3-1 when the full time whistle sounded.

It's not like teams are having 5 shots a game ricocheting off both posts and the crossbar and somehow staying out of the net.

Been hearing that we shouldn't be where we are for 3 years now but it's clear that our style isn't one that looks pretty for the data analysts trying to predict or model our season but is effective for getting us European football for 3 consecutive seasons.
 

Birdy

Senior Member
Been hearing that we shouldn't be where we are for 3 years now but it's clear that our style isn't one that looks pretty for the data analysts trying to predict or model our season but is effective for getting us European football for 3 consecutive seasons.

This season is nothing like the previous ones. Look at the first graph.
Last season for example, points were fair eventually: at the beginning of the campaign you were unlucky, at the end lucky, and everything evened out eventually.

That is not a criticism of the club or Emery who has done a fantastic job given what he has and who he competes against.

PS: as for the Chelsea game
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Should have been 3-0 at HT.
Of course after min 60' everything flipped and Villa should have scored 3 the last 30 min.
 

MonteCuler

Well-known member
Aston Villa is defo overperforming but they are still a quality side

Last season in CL they had PSG on ropes in second leg

If they had easier path to final fuck knows how far they could go
 

Temptation

Well-known member
Like you know I'm a big fan of the xG system and this makes perfect sense.

MY TACTICAL ANALYSIS:

Emery's tactics are currently geared towards Morgan Rogers getting into positions from which he can shoot. Rogers is amazing at that and Villa's system gives him many opportunities to use this attribute.

Villa play a very very narrow system with no wingers. They don't really cross the ball. Good crosses add to the xG a lot.

They try to hit Watkins and Malen early down the channels. They often square it back to the central areas where a free roaming Rogers is arriving with the perfect shooting opportunity and momentum.

Have they been lucky lately? Ofcourse they have. But the low xG is also a symptom of Emery's tactical system with no wingers or traditional targetman. Tactically Emery intentionally frees up Rogers to get into these positions with his possession recycling patterns of play. And Rogers' distance shooting ability is definitely skill not luck.

Tielemans is a brilliant player that goes under the radar. He has a brilliant shot from distance and final pass too. He can also drop deep, play in the double pivot and control the tempo. One of the best midfielders in the league with brilliant passing empathy.

Their main players are Rogers, Tielemans, Onana and Kamara.

It's a very interesting and unique tactical system by Emery who's one of the best tacticians on the planet. They alternate between a very narrow 4411 and 4231.

The system isn't sustainable long term and Emery knows it. And Villa were playing a different system last season when they had more squad depth and game changers. Currently Emery needs a few signings because it's a very thin squad with limited options.

Emery knows exactly what he's doing. He just needs more backing in the market to develop his system better and make it sustainable like it used to be. @fergus90
 

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