It's between Bayern and Arsenal in the semis no?
I assume both will get there. Arsenal is strong, but I'd prefer a defensive team like Arsenal than Bayern or PSG.
They have a stacked squad. They are sitting better this season in CL than in the last season at the same moment.
It is not 50-50 for sure. More like 30-70. We still have 2-3 starters out of their depth, depending on injuries.
It would be ideal if we could play Newcastle, then Juve or AM manage to knock out Liverpool. So we'd have to go through Newcastle and one of Tottenham/Juve/AM.
But even so, home ground in quarterfinal is good. PSG is far from unbeatable also.