Yes in Paris, youre right Liverpool looking tired but Paris without Neymar is just too weak to win again Liverpool. He was their best player by far against Neapel still werent able to win against them. Of course Liverpool wants to win but a draw wouldnt be bad for them too.
MODRIC will win it 100%- look at the ODDS. Even if he didnt deserve it this year, you can give him the Ballon Dor because he was the Xavi for Madrid last years and so he deserves atleast one Ballon Dor in his career. ImO Ronaldo or Messi deserves it this year but they wont win it as scoring 50...